Monday, May 2, 2011
Xcode 4, Phonegap and jQuery Mobile
Thursday, July 8, 2010
When the time Guanxi is not able to be monetized!
Ms C and his busband were senior staff of two state-owned enterprise. Ms C retired a few years ago to take care of her daughter. Ms C got a very good guanxi with senior officials from Telecom authority and the cultural and broadcasting authority. With her guanxi, she even could build connection with Hong Kong Tycoons and elites.
Under her possession, she got licences in ICP, ISP, VoIP and etc, which are mouth-watering by foreigners. However, after years' effort in business sectors, she found herself ran out of energy with no profit and no prosperity.
What's going wrong here?
Is it merely a managerial problem? Yes, but just partial. Her basic target is to attract foreign investors to fund up her business. Her business never gets a long term planning and a roadmap. Everything in her business is just a mock-up and a logistic. Some products after being fully developed were never launched since she just wanted a showcase.
Honestly, it leaves the investors a lot of questions. Should we fund her up to build a real business? Would she be a good business owner? If you are a foreign investor, will you build your second home in China with her?
What is critical here?
It is a regulatory problem. Managerial problem can be easily overcome but not for regulatory problem. Thousands of rules keep foreign telecom related operator away. How to overcome this problem?
Another AR example from IKEA
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
McKinsey advocating second home in China
Perhaps, you cannot hear that. But I do. I can sense a chant of “China, China, China” in global business arena even though there are a lot of downsides. Yes, not just me. McKinsey, the famous global business consultant, advocates an idea of taking China as second home for businesses.
Spurred on with its rapid evolution, China is now considered as the global battlefield for sectors, like consumer electronics, semiconductors, and electricity transmission equipment, on which global winners are determined. McKinsey describes the way of some multinational companies “side betting” by letting their rivals take risk on China’s booming and regulatory imperfect. McKinsey warns if multinational companies do not start building second home in China, they would not keep their success. In other words, multinational companies need to commit themselves to China and make long-term “guanxi” (a term which is more than relationship and connection) there.
McKinsey is striking up a discordant tune to the concerto playing by chambers of commerce from America and Europe. Indeed, RMB rate control, Google-China tension, new regulation on “indigenous innovation” and antimonopoly issue on Coca-cola acquisition of Huiyuen Juice, all those issues were discussed on the table by the chambers. Mainstream view is formed multinational companies are likely not welcome by China.
I think McKinsey’s argument is strong. It cites two examples, piano and auto markets in the China, to illustrate how attractive the markets are. However, what is the value proposition for a second home? Merely revenue?
I agreed with the point that it should not be a measure to gain revenue but a measure to survive in the market and not to be demolished by competitors.
There are five qualitative metrics to measure the success of second home in China:
1. Time spent in China
2. Visibility into China
3. Chinese representation in the senior team
4. Knowledge of Chinese customers and suppliers
5. Relationships with government leaders and regulators
傳統零售:電子商務係魔道?
據統計,截至2010年5月底,2009年度連鎖百強企業中已有31家開展了網上零售業務,但是整體銷售額佔在國內網購市場仍不足1%,可見傳統零售仍然很有戒心,或者不願意改變商業的模式,去面對新的競爭。
從商業管理的角度去看,「誘因」扮演一個重要的角色。傳統零售商不願意改變現行的模式,因為現行的仍有錢賺,而相對電子商務來說,利潤比較薄。
有記者比對過國內一些傳統零售商和電子商務的價格,發現傳統零售就算有自己的網站,也不熱衷靈活的價值運用,目的是要保護現有的利潤。舉個例子說,同一款的電視機,傳統零售要統一網上和商舖的價和,售3100元,但電子商務網站只售2699。
這種價格的策略是可以理解的,但卻削弱了傳統零售在這個範疇的競爭力。傳統零售仍然有優勢,老實說,買一台電視,我會跑到商舖裡看看實物,才會下決定。當然,重點在那「決定」,我會選擇便宜一點的網上購買,還是即時下決定在商店裡完成購買行為。
這一年多以來,國內的網上購物起了很大的變化,網路賣家實名制、網站工商登記註冊等新規定,再加上七月一日起《網路商品交易及有關服務行為管理暫行辦法》實施,中國政府有意識地邁向更嚴格的規管,且有稅收的意味,讓國內電子商務百花齊放的日子,很快會成為過去。
將來會如何?在英美兩地,排列網上購物網站的前十位的,大都是傳統零售轉身而成的網上商店,這勢將成為中的新趨勢,連鎖百強中蘇甯、國美、歐尚、翠微大廈等可能會跑出。只是在政策的協助下,讓這些百強繞過真正的競爭而跑出,對消費者未必有利。
不過,話說回頭,網上商城不算小規模的投資,以一個全國性的網站計,初步的投資要3000萬人民幣,以後還要繼續投入。但同一筆的投資,放在實體的商舖上,兩三年可以回本,難怪連鎖百強仍只是集中實體的業務。
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
賤價必勝?!愛揮劍自宮的中國B2C電務市場
可惜,中國市場就是一個殺戮戰場,不論你是B2C、B2B、傳統企業,或者電子商務,價格血戰連場,那陣血腥味,中人欲嘔。
無怪的,在一項最新調查顯示,中國2010年度單是網絡市場交易總額就已經突破了一千億元人民幣。要搶奪市場,傳統智慧就是打價格戰,以本傷人,看誰人能最後站在戰場上不倒下來。有誰會細想,留下殘障的身體仍有力持久下去嗎?
最新有一個報導各映這個事實:
針對低價競爭的情況,某國內資深電商從業者感慨到,“不僅電子商務領域是這樣,其他領域也一樣,如中國手機,一通價格血戰下來,不管是戰鬥機還是轟炸機,都失去了應得的先機。還有大家熟悉的三鹿奶粉,一度因價格便宜受到消費者歡迎,最後吃出了三聚氰胺,大家又開始花10倍價錢去買國外的進口奶粉。這些鮮活的例子告訴我們,一味的價格戰只能遭到市場的質疑,最終使企業走向黑洞。”某國外專家在一次論壇中則講到:“目前中國企業中有很多都在採用價格戰來增強用戶的粘稠度,尤其是電子商務企業,競爭的方式過於單一,僅停留在價格戰的階段,而忽視了貨品品質、物流、服務在提升競爭力方面的重要作用。”
誠然,價格是最即時見成效的武器,就像核彈一樣,推倒整個市場。問題在於能持久嗎?
其實,貨品最終的決戰在於自己的質素和服務,這才是商界正道。可惜「葵花寶典」就在眼前,又有那個能抵擋魔力,不揮劍自宮,以捷徑稱霸江湖呢?
Facebook遊戲注定失敗?! 遊戲商要小心自己的投資
遠的不看,先看最新消息。Yahoo將於今天與虛擬遊戲商Offerpal宣布合作,作為Yahoo向遊戲業進軍的重要一步。早在今年五月,FB與FarmVille的開發商Zynga鬧翻後,Yahoo立即拉攏FarmVille加盟Yahoo Game,Yahoo的意圖已經後明顯,希望糾正過去的錯誤。不過,目前Yahoo要對FB造成威脅,尚有一段距離。
FB以火燒的速度,成為網上遊戲業的巨擘,這是不爭的事實。問題在於FB對於遊戲業的投入度,一直盛傳FB的CEO Mark Zuckerberg對遊戲業務不感興趣,讓遊戲業務不獲重視,這是對遊戲商一大重擊。
業界普遍認為,FB作為社交網的龍頭,正重蹈Yahoo Game當年的錯誤,沒把遊戲業務當作一回事,結果被Real Networks和BigFish等坐大。Hi5 總裁Alex St.John直言,FB的失敗是無可避免的。據網流監察機構comScore的統計,Zynga去年的流量已經超越了Yahoo Game。
問題真正在於FB的遊戲業務,是否有前景,因為公司不專注在這業務上,只在發展FB平台為一個多用途的社交網。
當然,我不排除很多同業心感酸溜溜,乘機踏FB幾腳。有人話,FB遊戲勢將宣布全面失敗。我就覺得太誇張,忽略FB對網民心理上engagement的元素。FB遊戲有多差勁,也不致於如Yahoo Game咁,只餘下公公婆婆在玩。